2010 is the most complicated year for the international and domestic economic situation facing the machinery industry. Under the guidance of a series of correct measures by the state, the economic operation of the industry has maintained steady and rapid growth, and the main indicators of economic benefits have been generally improved. While the whole industry has experienced “recovery growth†to “recovering growthâ€, some industries have achieved extraordinary development, and there has been a good momentum of technological progress, independent innovation, and development of high-end equipment to support the development of the industry.
The latest statistics show that in 2010, the industry's production and sales of the machinery industry achieved a growth of more than 30%, a record high, among which the growth of production and sales of construction machinery and machine tool industry was outstanding, the export delivery value showed a recovery growth, and the scale of import and export trade continued. expand. Among the 119 major product output statistics collected by the China Machinery Industry Federation, the cumulative year-on-year growth accounted for 89.92% of all reported product varieties.
Looking forward to 2011, the economic operation of the machinery industry is expected to continue to maintain a good momentum of development. The annual production and sales is expected to achieve an increase of about 15% over the previous year.
Production and sales showed steady and rapid growth
After the total output value jumped to a new level of 10 trillion yuan for the first time in 2009, the total output value of the machinery industry reached a record high in 2010. The total industrial output value of the whole industry was 1,438,684.81 billion yuan, an increase of 33.93% over the same period of last year. Increase by 17.86 percentage points. In December, the total industrial output value of the year was 148.039 billion yuan, a record high. In 2010, the total sales value of the whole industry was 1,049.336 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.26%, and the growth rate was 18.15 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year. From the annual production growth rate in the whole year, although the growth rate of production and sales of the machinery industry in the first 11 months of 2010 showed a trend of falling month by month, the growth rate of production in December was slightly higher than that in October and November. Smooth and rapid growth. Due to the low growth rate of production and sales in the previous year, the growth rate of production in 2010 is a higher year in recent years.
In 2010, the sales rate of mechanical products was 97.74%, an increase of 0.24 percentage points over the same period of the previous year, but slightly lower than the national industrial product sales rate (97.93%). From the perspective of different enterprises, the ratio of production and sales of large enterprises is 98.43%, up 0.33 percentage points over the previous year, 97.51% for medium-sized enterprises, up 0.26 percentage points over the previous year, and 97.48% for small enterprises, up 0.18 percentage points over the previous year. .
Engineering and machine tool industry production growth is outstanding
In 2010, the production of 12 industries in the machinery industry showed a growth momentum. There are 5 industries with higher growth rate than the industry average, followed by engineering machinery, machine tools, automobiles, mechanical basic parts and internal combustion engine industry, among which construction machinery and machine tools The industry's production growth was outstanding, with a cumulative increase of 48.09% and 40.95%, respectively, and the growth rate was up by 23 percentage points over the previous year. However, there are 7 industries whose production growth rate is lower than the industry average. These industries are agricultural machinery, instrumentation, cultural office equipment, petrochemical general machinery, heavy mining machinery, electrical appliances and food packaging machinery industries, with growth rates above 25%. .
New Product output growth
In 2010, the output value of new products in the whole industry was 272.151 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.07%. The output value of new products showed a rapid growth, but the output value of new products was the same as that of the previous year, which was 18.92%. From the perspective of various industries, the output rate of new products in seven industries has increased compared with the previous year, namely engineering machinery, instrumentation, cultural office equipment, petrochemical general machinery, electrical appliances, mechanical basic parts and food packaging machinery industry, while the new automotive industry The output value of the products has decreased compared with the previous year. However, from the perspective of contribution rate, the automobile industry contributed the most to the growth of new product output value, which was 52.14%; the electrical and electronic industry was second, it was 19.95%; the construction machinery industry and petrochemical general industry ranked third and fourth respectively.
Export delivery value is recovering
In 2010, the export delivery value of the whole industry reached 1,449.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.32%. The growth rate increased by 52.85 percentage points over the same period of the previous year (-18.53%). Overall, the export delivery value showed an increasing trend, but the growth rate was monthly. slow. At the same time, the export delivery rate decreased by 0.13 percentage points compared with the previous year. The industries with large declines were: heavy mining machinery, instrumentation, internal combustion engine and food packaging machinery industry, with a year-on-year decline of more than 1 percentage point. The industry with the highest export delivery rate in 2010 was the cultural office industry, which reached 73.37%; the following is 18.99% of the instrumentation industry, 14.26% of the electrical and electronic industry, and 10.57% of the petrochemical general industry.
Nearly 90% of major products grow year on year
Among the 119 major products of the China Computer Association monthly report, 107 products have accumulated a year-on-year increase, accounting for 89.92% of all reported products; among them, 85 products have grown by more than double digits, accounting for 71.43 of all reported products. %; There are 11 kinds of products that have accumulated a year-on-year decline, accounting for 9.24% of all reported products. The output of some products has reached a new level. Details are as follows:
Under the influence of the national agricultural machinery subsidy policy, the output of major agricultural machinery products increased rapidly, and the growth of large tractors, on-the-job machinery and grain processing machinery increased by more than 30%. In particular, grain processing machinery grew rapidly, up 50.88% year-on-year. The year-on-year decline in agricultural machinery products was special equipment for feed production, which decreased by 4.26%.
The output of most products in the petrochemical general industry has increased to different degrees compared with the previous year. The products that have maintained growth of more than 30% include: special equipment for refining and chemical production, vacuum pumps, fans, gas compressors, compressors for refrigeration equipment, oil drilling equipment and Plastic processing equipment and other products, of which oil drilling equipment grew significantly, an increase of 89%. However, the output of gas separation and liquefaction equipment, air pollution control equipment, solid waste treatment equipment and noise and vibration control equipment decreased to varying degrees, down more than 12% year-on-year.
In 2010, excavation and earthmoving machinery and equipment products maintained rapid growth, among which excavators and loaders grew faster, with a year-on-year increase of more than 45%. The concrete machinery with lower growth rate is also kept above 9%.
Except for the metal rolling equipment, the heavy machinery products listed in the monthly report have different degrees of growth compared with the previous year. Among them, the transportation machinery is growing faster, with a year-on-year increase of 37.82%. Metal rolling equipment decreased by 3.18% year-on-year.
Among the 10 products in the instrumentation and cultural office equipment industry, which are reported in the monthly report, 8 products are on the rise. The fastest growing products in the instrumentation industry are: automotive instrumentation, industrial automation instrumentation and control systems.
And optical instruments, an increase of more than 25% year-on-year; special instruments and analytical instruments and devices for environmental monitoring decreased by 1.78% and 1.79% respectively. Cameras, digital cameras and photocopying printing equipment in the cultural office industry all showed a year-on-year growth trend. The faster growth was in copying and offset printing equipment, up 22.52% year-on-year.
In 2010, metal cutting machine tools and metal forming machine tools all maintained rapid growth, with year-on-year growth exceeding 18%. Among them, CNC metal cutting machine tools grew significantly, up 66.71% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 67.17 percentage points over the previous year. CNC system equipment has more than doubled year-on-year growth.
In 2010, the auto industry continued to maintain rapid development under the support of national policies. A total of 18.26 million vehicles were produced, an increase of 32.44% over the previous year. Among them, the car grew 28.17%, and the multi-purpose passenger car
The growth rate was 79.89%, the sports utility vehicle increased by 103.38%, the passenger car increased by 29.93%, and the truck increased by 22.72%. Low-speed trucks have changed their downward trend in the first 11 months, up 1.55% year-on-year.
In 2010, the production of power generation equipment was 12,264,100 kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and the growth rate was 16.5 percentage points higher than the previous year. From the classification of power generation equipment, the hydro-generator unit decreased by 9.7% year-on-year, the growth rate decreased by 2.1 percentage points over the previous year, and the steam turbine generator increased by 1.4% year-on-year. The growth rate increased by 19.9 percentage points over the previous year. The output of new energy wind turbines maintained a high growth rate, up 53.8% year-on-year. In 2010, power transmission and transformation equipment grew rapidly, with transformers and power capacitors both growing by more than 27%, and low-voltage switchboards by 72.44%.
Double-digit growth will still be achieved in 2011
2011 is the first year of China's “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. Under the joint action of multiple factors, the development of machinery industry is expected to achieve a rapid transition from rapid growth in 2010 to steady and rapid growth in the future.
From the perspective of favorable factors, the overall economic operation environment of the machinery industry is better. The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†will inject new vitality into the development of the machinery industry, and plan for the development of seven strategic emerging industries such as energy conservation and environmental protection, high-end equipment manufacturing and new energy vehicles. The full launch will bring about the construction of a large number of industrial upgrading projects. At the same time, the country's increased policy support for new strategic industries will boost the long-term development of the industry. In addition, the initial results of industrial restructuring, the acceleration of technological progress, and the active reorganization of corporate restructuring activities, the emergence of high-end new products are all conducive to the healthy development of the industry. In 2011, the global economy began to gradually recover, and the foreign trade market showed a recovery growth. The overall situation will not be worse than 2010.
From the unfavorable factors, the inherent growth momentum of machinery enterprises still needs to be strengthened; the investment growth rate begins to decline, investment demand is difficult to be optimistic; the overall RMB is still on the rise, the import of machinery products will continue to grow at a high speed; the rise of international trade protectionism makes foreign trade The situation is difficult to be optimistic; the cost is on the rise. With the tightening of coal-electricity oil supply capacity and general price increases, raw material prices are likely to resume the upward trend, which will push up the cost of the machinery industry; The gradual abolition of policies, the growth rate of several related industries such as automobiles will tend to be flat.
In summary, in 2011, especially in the first quarter, the economic operation speed of the machinery industry will be significantly lower than that in 2010. It is expected that the growth rate of production and sales in 2011 will fall back to around 15%, and the profit growth rate may be low. Increase in production and sales.
In 2011, the operating state of the machinery industry will be presented as: while the economic operation speed is falling normally, the structural upgrade of the mechanical products will be more conscious, the mergers and acquisitions of enterprises will become more active, and the momentum of independent innovation of high-end equipment will be stronger and the capital investment will be more It will increasingly turn to the research and development test field, and the research on the basic bottleneck will be gradually increased, and the pace of export upgrade will accelerate.
The latest statistics show that in 2010, the industry's production and sales of the machinery industry achieved a growth of more than 30%, a record high, among which the growth of production and sales of construction machinery and machine tool industry was outstanding, the export delivery value showed a recovery growth, and the scale of import and export trade continued. expand. Among the 119 major product output statistics collected by the China Machinery Industry Federation, the cumulative year-on-year growth accounted for 89.92% of all reported product varieties.
Looking forward to 2011, the economic operation of the machinery industry is expected to continue to maintain a good momentum of development. The annual production and sales is expected to achieve an increase of about 15% over the previous year.
Production and sales showed steady and rapid growth
After the total output value jumped to a new level of 10 trillion yuan for the first time in 2009, the total output value of the machinery industry reached a record high in 2010. The total industrial output value of the whole industry was 1,438,684.81 billion yuan, an increase of 33.93% over the same period of last year. Increase by 17.86 percentage points. In December, the total industrial output value of the year was 148.039 billion yuan, a record high. In 2010, the total sales value of the whole industry was 1,049.336 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.26%, and the growth rate was 18.15 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year. From the annual production growth rate in the whole year, although the growth rate of production and sales of the machinery industry in the first 11 months of 2010 showed a trend of falling month by month, the growth rate of production in December was slightly higher than that in October and November. Smooth and rapid growth. Due to the low growth rate of production and sales in the previous year, the growth rate of production in 2010 is a higher year in recent years.
In 2010, the sales rate of mechanical products was 97.74%, an increase of 0.24 percentage points over the same period of the previous year, but slightly lower than the national industrial product sales rate (97.93%). From the perspective of different enterprises, the ratio of production and sales of large enterprises is 98.43%, up 0.33 percentage points over the previous year, 97.51% for medium-sized enterprises, up 0.26 percentage points over the previous year, and 97.48% for small enterprises, up 0.18 percentage points over the previous year. .
Engineering and machine tool industry production growth is outstanding
In 2010, the production of 12 industries in the machinery industry showed a growth momentum. There are 5 industries with higher growth rate than the industry average, followed by engineering machinery, machine tools, automobiles, mechanical basic parts and internal combustion engine industry, among which construction machinery and machine tools The industry's production growth was outstanding, with a cumulative increase of 48.09% and 40.95%, respectively, and the growth rate was up by 23 percentage points over the previous year. However, there are 7 industries whose production growth rate is lower than the industry average. These industries are agricultural machinery, instrumentation, cultural office equipment, petrochemical general machinery, heavy mining machinery, electrical appliances and food packaging machinery industries, with growth rates above 25%. .
New Product output growth
In 2010, the output value of new products in the whole industry was 272.151 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 33.07%. The output value of new products showed a rapid growth, but the output value of new products was the same as that of the previous year, which was 18.92%. From the perspective of various industries, the output rate of new products in seven industries has increased compared with the previous year, namely engineering machinery, instrumentation, cultural office equipment, petrochemical general machinery, electrical appliances, mechanical basic parts and food packaging machinery industry, while the new automotive industry The output value of the products has decreased compared with the previous year. However, from the perspective of contribution rate, the automobile industry contributed the most to the growth of new product output value, which was 52.14%; the electrical and electronic industry was second, it was 19.95%; the construction machinery industry and petrochemical general industry ranked third and fourth respectively.
Export delivery value is recovering
In 2010, the export delivery value of the whole industry reached 1,449.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.32%. The growth rate increased by 52.85 percentage points over the same period of the previous year (-18.53%). Overall, the export delivery value showed an increasing trend, but the growth rate was monthly. slow. At the same time, the export delivery rate decreased by 0.13 percentage points compared with the previous year. The industries with large declines were: heavy mining machinery, instrumentation, internal combustion engine and food packaging machinery industry, with a year-on-year decline of more than 1 percentage point. The industry with the highest export delivery rate in 2010 was the cultural office industry, which reached 73.37%; the following is 18.99% of the instrumentation industry, 14.26% of the electrical and electronic industry, and 10.57% of the petrochemical general industry.
Nearly 90% of major products grow year on year
Among the 119 major products of the China Computer Association monthly report, 107 products have accumulated a year-on-year increase, accounting for 89.92% of all reported products; among them, 85 products have grown by more than double digits, accounting for 71.43 of all reported products. %; There are 11 kinds of products that have accumulated a year-on-year decline, accounting for 9.24% of all reported products. The output of some products has reached a new level. Details are as follows:
Under the influence of the national agricultural machinery subsidy policy, the output of major agricultural machinery products increased rapidly, and the growth of large tractors, on-the-job machinery and grain processing machinery increased by more than 30%. In particular, grain processing machinery grew rapidly, up 50.88% year-on-year. The year-on-year decline in agricultural machinery products was special equipment for feed production, which decreased by 4.26%.
The output of most products in the petrochemical general industry has increased to different degrees compared with the previous year. The products that have maintained growth of more than 30% include: special equipment for refining and chemical production, vacuum pumps, fans, gas compressors, compressors for refrigeration equipment, oil drilling equipment and Plastic processing equipment and other products, of which oil drilling equipment grew significantly, an increase of 89%. However, the output of gas separation and liquefaction equipment, air pollution control equipment, solid waste treatment equipment and noise and vibration control equipment decreased to varying degrees, down more than 12% year-on-year.
In 2010, excavation and earthmoving machinery and equipment products maintained rapid growth, among which excavators and loaders grew faster, with a year-on-year increase of more than 45%. The concrete machinery with lower growth rate is also kept above 9%.
Except for the metal rolling equipment, the heavy machinery products listed in the monthly report have different degrees of growth compared with the previous year. Among them, the transportation machinery is growing faster, with a year-on-year increase of 37.82%. Metal rolling equipment decreased by 3.18% year-on-year.
Among the 10 products in the instrumentation and cultural office equipment industry, which are reported in the monthly report, 8 products are on the rise. The fastest growing products in the instrumentation industry are: automotive instrumentation, industrial automation instrumentation and control systems.
And optical instruments, an increase of more than 25% year-on-year; special instruments and analytical instruments and devices for environmental monitoring decreased by 1.78% and 1.79% respectively. Cameras, digital cameras and photocopying printing equipment in the cultural office industry all showed a year-on-year growth trend. The faster growth was in copying and offset printing equipment, up 22.52% year-on-year.
In 2010, metal cutting machine tools and metal forming machine tools all maintained rapid growth, with year-on-year growth exceeding 18%. Among them, CNC metal cutting machine tools grew significantly, up 66.71% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by 67.17 percentage points over the previous year. CNC system equipment has more than doubled year-on-year growth.
In 2010, the auto industry continued to maintain rapid development under the support of national policies. A total of 18.26 million vehicles were produced, an increase of 32.44% over the previous year. Among them, the car grew 28.17%, and the multi-purpose passenger car
The growth rate was 79.89%, the sports utility vehicle increased by 103.38%, the passenger car increased by 29.93%, and the truck increased by 22.72%. Low-speed trucks have changed their downward trend in the first 11 months, up 1.55% year-on-year.
In 2010, the production of power generation equipment was 12,264,100 kilowatts, a year-on-year increase of 4.6%, and the growth rate was 16.5 percentage points higher than the previous year. From the classification of power generation equipment, the hydro-generator unit decreased by 9.7% year-on-year, the growth rate decreased by 2.1 percentage points over the previous year, and the steam turbine generator increased by 1.4% year-on-year. The growth rate increased by 19.9 percentage points over the previous year. The output of new energy wind turbines maintained a high growth rate, up 53.8% year-on-year. In 2010, power transmission and transformation equipment grew rapidly, with transformers and power capacitors both growing by more than 27%, and low-voltage switchboards by 72.44%.
Double-digit growth will still be achieved in 2011
2011 is the first year of China's “Twelfth Five-Year Planâ€. Under the joint action of multiple factors, the development of machinery industry is expected to achieve a rapid transition from rapid growth in 2010 to steady and rapid growth in the future.
From the perspective of favorable factors, the overall economic operation environment of the machinery industry is better. The “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†will inject new vitality into the development of the machinery industry, and plan for the development of seven strategic emerging industries such as energy conservation and environmental protection, high-end equipment manufacturing and new energy vehicles. The full launch will bring about the construction of a large number of industrial upgrading projects. At the same time, the country's increased policy support for new strategic industries will boost the long-term development of the industry. In addition, the initial results of industrial restructuring, the acceleration of technological progress, and the active reorganization of corporate restructuring activities, the emergence of high-end new products are all conducive to the healthy development of the industry. In 2011, the global economy began to gradually recover, and the foreign trade market showed a recovery growth. The overall situation will not be worse than 2010.
From the unfavorable factors, the inherent growth momentum of machinery enterprises still needs to be strengthened; the investment growth rate begins to decline, investment demand is difficult to be optimistic; the overall RMB is still on the rise, the import of machinery products will continue to grow at a high speed; the rise of international trade protectionism makes foreign trade The situation is difficult to be optimistic; the cost is on the rise. With the tightening of coal-electricity oil supply capacity and general price increases, raw material prices are likely to resume the upward trend, which will push up the cost of the machinery industry; The gradual abolition of policies, the growth rate of several related industries such as automobiles will tend to be flat.
In summary, in 2011, especially in the first quarter, the economic operation speed of the machinery industry will be significantly lower than that in 2010. It is expected that the growth rate of production and sales in 2011 will fall back to around 15%, and the profit growth rate may be low. Increase in production and sales.
In 2011, the operating state of the machinery industry will be presented as: while the economic operation speed is falling normally, the structural upgrade of the mechanical products will be more conscious, the mergers and acquisitions of enterprises will become more active, and the momentum of independent innovation of high-end equipment will be stronger and the capital investment will be more It will increasingly turn to the research and development test field, and the research on the basic bottleneck will be gradually increased, and the pace of export upgrade will accelerate.
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